The local picture

Cottingham South

The ward Aaron calls home, represented by two councillors on East Riding of Yorkshire Council. Here are the facts, the recent results and what we genuinely know about the 2027 contest.

Aaron Larkin campaigning with local Conservative volunteers in Cottingham
Campaigning with the local team

2Ward councillors

7,503Electors at the 2023 poll

35.28%Turnout in 2023

6 May 2027Next scheduled election

Looking to 2027

Internal polling

Based on internal polling, this is the current indication of how people will vote in Cottingham South.

Vote breakdown

How people are currently indicating they will vote

Internal polling as of 3 August 2026

Undecided49.43%
Conservative33.84%
Labour8.37%
Reform UK6.84%
Green1.14%
Liberal Democrats0.38%

Undecided groups the responses not assigned to one party, including waverers and people who did not state a firm voting intention.

Election history

The last three full council elections

Conservatives won both Cottingham South seats in 2015 and 2019. Labour won both seats in 2023. Every figure below comes from the official East Riding result pages.

2023

4 May 2023

Official result
Turnout
35.28%
Electorate
7,503
Ballots issued
2,647
Second seat margin
284 votes
Carolyn CantrellElected
Labour1,263 votes48.10%
Kevin CassonElected
Labour1,239 votes47.18%
Mike Medini
Conservative955 votes36.37%
Helen Green
Conservative948 votes36.10%
Keith Stubbs
Liberal Democrats395 votes15.04%
Fran Van Hessen
Liberal Democrats296 votes11.27%
2019

2 May 2019

Official result
Turnout
33.43%
Electorate
7,341
Ballots issued
2,454
Second seat margin
147 votes
Helen GreenElected
Conservative833 votes34.24%
Mike MediniElected
Conservative796 votes32.72%
Alex Duke
Labour649 votes26.67%
Sam Kind
Labour559 votes22.98%
Kevin Casson
Independent531 votes21.82%
Phillip Redshaw
Liberal Democrats350 votes14.39%
Richard Weighill
Liberal Democrats315 votes12.95%
Andy Hargreaves
UKIP273 votes11.22%
Alan Williams
UKIP231 votes9.49%
2015

7 May 2015

Official result
Turnout
65.36%
Electorate
7,324
Ballots issued
4,787
Second seat margin
157 votes
Helen GreenElected
Conservative2,077 votes43.99%
Mike MediniElected
Conservative1,675 votes35.48%
Alexander Duke
Labour1,518 votes32.15%
Julia Marten
Labour1,490 votes31.56%
Win Knight
Liberal Democrats853 votes18.07%
Richard Weighill
Liberal Democrats582 votes12.33%

Cottingham South elects two councillors. Each voter may cast up to two candidate votes. “Second seat margin” compares the lower placed winner with the highest placed candidate who was not elected.

The ward in 2027

Two seats under the new arrangements

7,4522023 electorate used in the boundary review
7,601Projected electorate in 2030

The Local Government Boundary Commission's final recommendations retain Cottingham South as a two councillor ward for the 2027 elections. The review's electorate baseline differs slightly from the election register used on polling day.

Read the official boundary review

Sources

Verified public information